tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Las Vegas via Phoenix: arrives on time 84%

  1. 07:41 MSP → 09:00 PHX
    AA 3143 · American · 3h 19m · 85% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 24m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:24 PHX → 11:37 LAS
    AA 2037 · American · 1h 13m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 24m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 56mMSP 07:41 to LAS 11:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.