tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Dallas-Fort Worth via Phoenix: arrives on time 81%

  1. 07:41 MSP → 09:00 PHX
    AA 3143 · American · 3h 19m · 85% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 31m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:31 PHX → 15:10 DFW
    AA 3284 · American · 2h 39m · 88% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 31m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 29mMSP 07:41 to DFW 15:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.