tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → San Jose via Phoenix: arrives on time 66%

  1. 07:41 MSP → 09:00 PHX
    AA 3143 · American · 3h 19m · 85% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:04 PHX → 11:59 SJC
    AA 3325 · American · 1h 55m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 18mMSP 07:41 to SJC 11:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.