tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → San Jose via Phoenix: arrives on time 83%

  1. 07:41 MSP → 09:00 PHX
    AA 3143 · American · 3h 19m · 85% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:04 PHX → 12:04 SJC
    AA 3940 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 00m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip6h 23mMSP 07:41 to SJC 12:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.