tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Atlanta via Miami: arrives on time 42%

  1. 14:24 ORD → 18:39 MIA
    AA 3148 · American · 3h 19m · 51% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:04 MIA → 22:09 ATL
    AA 1045 · American · 2h 05m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip6h 45mORD 14:24 to ATL 22:09, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.