tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Nashville via Miami: arrives on time 47%

  1. 14:24 ORD → 18:39 MIA
    AA 3148 · American · 3h 19m · 51% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 24m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:03 MIA → 21:26 BNA
    AA 2833 · American · 2h 24m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 24m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip7h 03mORD 14:24 to BNA 21:26, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.