tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Sarasota/Bradenton via Charlotte: arrives on time 37%

  1. 15:52 PHL → 17:57 CLT
    AA 3152 · American · 2h 05m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:49 CLT → 20:48 SRQ
    AA 2094 · American · 1h 56m · 53% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip4h 53mPHL 15:52 to SRQ 20:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.