tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Salt Lake City via Charlotte: arrives on time 47%

  1. 15:52 PHL → 17:57 CLT
    AA 3152 · American · 2h 05m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:44 CLT → 21:16 SLC
    AA 2611 · American · 4h 28m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 20mPHL 15:52 to SLC 21:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.