tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 56%

  1. 13:22 BZN → 19:44 CLT
    AA 3153 · American · 4h 22m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 56m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 CLT → 23:30 LGA
    AA 2068 · American · 1h 53m · 66% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 2 h ahead of Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 71 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 56m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip8h 11mBZN 13:22 to LGA 23:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.