tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Chicago via Charlotte: arrives on time 53%

  1. 11:20 BOS → 13:45 CLT
    AA 3161 · American · 2h 25m · 86% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:35 CLT → 15:56 ORD
    AA 2080 · American · 2h 21m · 74% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Boston). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 36mBOS 11:20 to ORD 15:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.