tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Grand Rapids → New York via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 23%

  1. 13:14 GRR → 15:00 DFW
    AA 3167 · American · 2h 46m · 73% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:56 DFW → 20:29 LGA
    AA 2028 · American · 3h 34m · 40% on time, 12.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (12.9% are) and within 15 minutes (40%).
Total trip7h 16mGRR 13:14 to LGA 20:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.