tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Grand Rapids → Minneapolis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 36%

  1. 13:14 GRR → 15:00 DFW
    AA 3167 · American · 2h 46m · 73% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:59 DFW → 18:23 MSP
    AA 2148 · American · 2h 24m · 52% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Grand Rapids). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip6h 09mGRR 13:14 to MSP 18:23, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.