tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 82%

  1. 05:01 ORF → 06:19 CLT
    AA 3168 · American · 1h 18m · 99% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 42m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:01 CLT → 11:55 JFK
    DL 5052 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 58m · 85% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 132 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 42m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 58mORF 05:01 to JFK 11:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.