tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Minneapolis via Charlotte: arrives on time 81%

  1. 05:01 ORF → 06:19 CLT
    AA 3168 · American · 1h 18m · 99% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 06m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:25 CLT → 10:04 MSP
    AA 2154 · American · 2h 39m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Norfolk). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 81 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 06m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 03mORF 05:01 to MSP 10:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.