tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Chicago via Charlotte: arrives on time 83%

  1. 05:01 ORF → 06:19 CLT
    AA 3168 · American · 1h 18m · 99% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 27m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:46 CLT → 09:02 ORD
    AA 2843 · American · 2h 16m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Norfolk). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 42 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 27m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip5h 01mORF 05:01 to ORD 09:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.