tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Asheville via Chicago: arrives on time 60%

  1. 10:42 EWR → 12:25 ORD
    AA 3170 · American · 2h 45m · 84% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 04m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:29 ORD → 18:25 AVL
    AA 3406 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 56m · 67% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 139 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 04m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip7h 43mEWR 10:42 to AVL 18:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.