tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Knoxville via Chicago: arrives on time 46%

  1. 10:42 EWR → 12:25 ORD
    AA 3170 · American · 2h 45m · 84% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 48m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:13 ORD → 18:02 TYS
    AA 3783 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 49m · 52% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 123 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 48m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip7h 20mEWR 10:42 to TYS 18:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.