tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → West Palm Beach via Chicago: arrives on time 70%

  1. 05:30 EWR → 07:15 ORD
    AA 3185 · American · 2h 45m · 88% on time, 8.3% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:09 ORD → 12:12 PBI
    AA 2269 · American · 3h 04m · 89% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (8.3% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 43mEWR 05:30 to PBI 12:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.