tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Hilton Head Island via Chicago: arrives on time 73%

  1. 05:30 EWR → 07:15 ORD
    AA 3185 · American · 2h 45m · 88% on time, 8.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 45m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 ORD → 13:32 HHH
    AA 3862 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 33m · 90% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 120 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (8.3% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip8h 03mEWR 05:30 to HHH 13:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.