tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Key West via Miami: arrives on time 81%

  1. 05:00 DFW → 08:55 MIA
    AA 3189 · American · 2h 55m · 84% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:55 MIA → 10:55 EYW
    AA 3515 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 00m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Key West is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (98%).
Total trip4h 55mDFW 05:00 to EYW 10:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.