Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Madison via Chicago: arrives on time 62%

  1. 08:30 PHX → 14:21 ORD
    AA 319 · American · 3h 51m · 86% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 39m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 ORD → 18:12 MSN
    AA 3717 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 12m · 70% on time, 8.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 114 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 39m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (8.1% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 42mPHX 08:30 to MSN 18:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.