tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Memphis via Washington: arrives on time 65%

  1. 08:30 PHX → 15:59 DCA
    AA 3191 · American · 4h 29m · 85% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 5h 00m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 DCA → 22:41 MEM
    AA 4681 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 32m · 69% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 12h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 255 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 5h 00m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip12h 01mPHX 08:30 to MEM 22:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.