tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → New York via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 34%

  1. 09:27 IAH → 10:51 DFW
    AA 3193 · American · 1h 24m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:46 DFW → 16:30 JFK
    AA 481 · American · 3h 44m · 50% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip6h 03mIAH 09:27 to JFK 16:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.