Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Phoenix → New York via San Francisco: arrives on time 45%
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10:53 PHX → 12:58 SFOAA 3199 · American · 2h 05m · 31% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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1h 57m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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14:55 SFO → 23:50 JFKAA 148 · American · 5h 56m · 73% on time, 5.6% cancelled
Total trip 9h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 72 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 57m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip9h 58mPHX 10:53 to JFK 23:50, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.