tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Chicago via Los Angeles: arrives on time 83%

  1. 20:38 PHX → 22:07 LAX
    AA 3204 · American · 1h 29m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 33m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 00:40 LAX → 07:06 ORD +1 day
    AA 2919 · American · 4h 26m · 87% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 108 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 33m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip8h 28mPHX 20:38 to ORD 07:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.