tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Richmond via New York: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:56 MIA → 09:59 LGA
    AA 3205 · American · 3h 03m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:16 LGA → 12:50 RIC
    AA 4501 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 31m · 84% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 51mMIA 06:56 to RIC 12:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.