tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → St Louis via New York: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:56 MIA → 09:59 LGA
    AA 3205 · American · 3h 03m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 59m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:58 LGA → 14:50 STL
    AA 4509 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 52m · 84% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 134 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 59m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip8h 54mMIA 06:56 to STL 14:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.