tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Los Angeles via Boston: arrives on time 14%

  1. 17:00 DCA → 18:47 BOS
    AA 3207 · American · 1h 47m · 43% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:35 BOS → 22:58 LAX
    AA 1691 · American · 6h 23m · 46% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection32%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 68% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time14%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (32%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip8h 58mDCA 17:00 to LAX 22:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.