tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → New York via Boston: arrives on time 29%

  1. 17:00 DCA → 18:47 BOS
    AA 3207 · American · 1h 47m · 43% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 BOS → 21:26 LGA
    AA 4397 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 26m · 64% on time, 13.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (13.1% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip4h 26mDCA 17:00 to LGA 21:26, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.