tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Rochester via Boston: arrives on time 53%

  1. 17:00 DCA → 18:47 BOS
    AA 3207 · American · 1h 47m · 43% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 42m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:29 BOS → 22:59 ROC
    AA 4662 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 37m · 68% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 117 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 42m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip6h 06mDCA 17:00 to ROC 22:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.