Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Washington via Miami: arrives on time 50%

  1. 09:28 LGA → 12:45 MIA
    AA 3211 · American · 3h 17m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:42 MIA → 16:26 DCA
    AA 3310 · American · 2h 44m · 70% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 58mLGA 09:28 to DCA 16:26, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.