tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Las Vegas via Miami: arrives on time 90%

  1. 06:00 TPA → 07:10 MIA
    AA 3215 · American · 1h 10m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:25 MIA → 11:41 LAS
    AA 2010 · American · 5h 16m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip8h 41mTPA 06:00 to LAS 11:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.