tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Indianapolis via Philadelphia: arrives on time 64%

  1. 08:20 SEA → 16:42 PHL
    AA 3219 · American · 5h 22m · 82% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 37m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:19 PHL → 20:45 IND
    AA 4637 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 26m · 76% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 52 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 37m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip9h 25mSEA 08:20 to IND 20:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.