tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Savannah via Philadelphia: arrives on time 45%

  1. 11:32 BNA → 14:38 PHL
    AA 3221 · American · 2h 07m · 73% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:38 PHL → 17:51 SAV
    AA 2504 · American · 2h 13m · 65% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Savannah is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 19mBNA 11:32 to SAV 17:51, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.