tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Manchester via Charlotte: arrives on time 66%

  1. 08:00 ORD → 11:08 CLT
    AA 3222 · American · 2h 08m · 84% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 33m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:41 CLT → 17:02 MHT
    AA 5288 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 20m · 70% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Manchester is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 168 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 33m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip8h 01mORD 08:00 to MHT 17:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.