tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Valparaiso → Hebron via Washington: arrives on time 51%

  1. 13:00 VPS → 16:15 DCA
    AA 3224 · American · 2h 15m · 42% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Washington (DCA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 19:30 DCA → 21:11 CVG
    DL 5134 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 41m · 65% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 1 h ahead of Valparaiso). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip7h 11mVPS 13:00 to CVG 21:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.