tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Valparaiso → Dallas-Fort Worth via Washington: arrives on time 20%

  1. 13:00 VPS → 16:15 DCA
    AA 3224 · American · 2h 15m · 42% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:11 DCA → 19:41 DFW
    AA 1414 · American · 3h 30m · 65% on time, 5.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection34%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 66% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (34%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip6h 41mVPS 13:00 to DFW 19:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.