tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Valparaiso → Houston via Washington: arrives on time 14%

  1. 13:00 VPS → 16:15 DCA
    AA 3224 · American · 2h 15m · 42% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 55m layover in Washington (DCA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 18:10 DCA → 20:35 HOU
    WN 2730 · Southwest · 3h 25m · 26% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 55m layover.
Arrives on time14%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (26%).
Total trip7h 35mVPS 13:00 to HOU 20:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.