tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Traverse City via Boston: arrives on time 83%

  1. 07:18 PHL → 08:42 BOS
    AA 3225 · American · 1h 25m · 89% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 31m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:13 BOS → 12:44 TVC
    AA 4516 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 31m · 90% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 31m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 26mPHL 07:18 to TVC 12:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.