tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Dallas-Fort Worth via New York: arrives on time 24%

  1. 12:51 MIA → 16:00 LGA
    AA 3229 · American · 3h 09m · 47% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:01 LGA → 20:10 DFW
    AA 3103 · American · 4h 09m · 60% on time, 10.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection47%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 53% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (47%) × second flight not cancelled (10.4% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip8h 19mMIA 12:51 to DFW 20:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.