tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Seattle via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 20%

  1. 17:15 PHX → 21:50 DFW
    AA 3232 · American · 2h 35m · 59% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:41 DFW → 00:57 SEA +1 day
    AA 1487 · American · 4h 16m · 47% on time, 6.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection47%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 53% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (47%) × second flight not cancelled (6.2% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip7h 42mPHX 17:15 to SEA 00:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.