tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → El Paso via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 31%

  1. 17:15 PHX → 21:50 DFW
    AA 3232 · American · 2h 35m · 59% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:59 DFW → 23:46 ELP
    AA 1607 · American · 1h 47m · 54% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (El Paso is 1 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip5h 31mPHX 17:15 to ELP 23:46, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.