tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Salt Lake City via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 25%

  1. 17:15 PHX → 21:50 DFW
    AA 3232 · American · 2h 35m · 59% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:52 DFW → 00:36 SLC +1 day
    AA 2378 · American · 2h 44m · 46% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip6h 21mPHX 17:15 to SLC 00:36, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.