tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Columbus via Chicago: arrives on time 24%

  1. 10:40 SEA → 16:48 ORD
    AA 3234 · American · 4h 08m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:39 ORD → 20:03 CMH
    AA 4288 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 24m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Columbus is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection36%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 64% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (36%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip6h 23mSEA 10:40 to CMH 20:03, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.