tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Sacramento via Los Angeles: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:30 BNA → 09:56 LAX
    AA 3237 · American · 4h 26m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 09m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:05 LAX → 13:32 SMF
    DL 3812 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 28m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 09m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip8h 03mBNA 07:30 to SMF 13:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.