tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → San Francisco via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 13%

  1. 14:17 RNO → 19:46 DFW
    AA 324 · American · 3h 29m · 71% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:44 DFW → 22:30 SFO
    AA 2228 · American · 3h 44m · 20% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time13%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (20%).
Total trip8h 11mRNO 14:17 to SFO 22:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.