Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Portland via Chicago: arrives on time 56%

  1. 15:52 DCA → 17:25 ORD
    AA 3254 · American · 2h 32m · 73% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 36m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:01 ORD → 00:43 PWM +1 day
    AA 4403 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 35m · 65% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 171 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 36m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip8h 44mDCA 15:52 to PWM 00:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.