tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Salt Lake City → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Chicago: arrives on time 50%

  1. 13:23 SLC → 17:39 ORD
    AA 3258 · American · 3h 16m · 60% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 ORD → 20:37 XNA
    AA 3578 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 07m · 96% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip6h 14mSLC 13:23 to XNA 20:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.