Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Portland via Phoenix: arrives on time 39%

  1. 17:34 ORD → 19:19 PHX
    AA 3261 · American · 3h 45m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 PHX → 23:08 PDX
    AA 561 · American · 2h 43m · 68% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 34mORD 17:34 to PDX 23:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.