tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Minneapolis via Washington: arrives on time 26%

  1. 16:47 CLT → 18:22 DCA
    AA 3263 · American · 1h 35m · 52% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 43m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 DCA → 21:54 MSP
    AA 5506 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 52m · 47% on time, 19.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 58 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 43m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (19.7% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip6h 10mCLT 16:47 to MSP 21:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.